Market Commentary & Analysis January 29, 2020

The stock market leaped back yesterday, recovering a big chunk of Monday's declines as traders and investors bought the dip in the midst waning coronavirus anxieties. 

This about-face on Tuesday has been brought to you by the New York Federal Reserve Repo desk, by injecting $85.70 Billion worth of financial juice. Well, let us stand back and watch the gung-ho rally, shall we!

The Nasdaq Composite index headed the dead-cat rally with a 1.4% increase, while the broad S&P 500 index posted +1.1%, DJI Average index printed +0.7%, and small-cap Russell 2000 index followed behind with a +0.9% gain on the day.

Gold Market

Click the Image to Enlarge

Technical Analysis and Outlook: Since we bounce from Mean Sup $3,240 in the Tuesday session, this may be the case of filling the gap quickly; then the market collapses as soon as it does to other support levels. Time will tell on that one. 

I am a staunch believer that Gaps fill sooner or later, although typically much more rapidly than we think: Be aware that gaps can take several days, weeks, or even months to fulfill.

Market action

The market session began with moderate gains, as the markets observed past discouraging earnings numbers of -10.07 or -5.7% from 3M Company and Pfizer Inc. showing -2.02 or -5.0%. The equities started climbing higher following the Conference Board published its Consumer Confidence Index, which rose to 131.6 this month from 128.2 posted in December. 

All eleven S&P 500 index sectors added to the robust rally, including five sectors that rose no less than 1.0%. The leading information technology sector posted +1.9% on the back of Apple Inc. +8.74 or +2.8% gain, which released its earnings summary after the market close. The stock got an additional boost on reports that the company asked its suppliers to increase the iPhone production level of more than 10% over 2019.

The PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX) that was among the worst showing groups yesterday rose 2.4% on the day. On the flip-side consumer staples sector, it was the best-performing group; however, it improved only by 0.1%. 

Regarding the coronavirus outbreak, there were not any decisive progress on the prevailing situation, as more and more incidents and deaths were affirmed in China with further travel restrictions orders. 

Traders and Investors, nevertheless, appeared satisfied by the fact that the outbreak continued to be under control in the United States. Any adverse impact on stock earnings growth, thus far, might be transient or have a minimum bearing.

In other market earning reports, United Technologies Corporation posted respectable +1.83 or +1.2% along with Lockheed Martin Corporation print of +4.79 or +1.1% that were some of the significant well-known companies yesterday which battered top and bottom-line estimations.

Other news

As the initial market panic over the coronavirus spread caused worldwide equity markets to dive: the Yellow metal is benefitting from a sweeping movement into safe-haven assets - the price of Gold is surging and rising toward our $1,600's marking.

United States Treasuries gave back some of their current winnings, sending yields moderately higher. The Two-year yield rose three basis points to post a 1.46% increase, and the ten-year yield grew four basis points to show a 1.64% gain. The United States Dollar Index (DXY) closed relatively flat at 97.97. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil advanced $1.15 or 2.18%, to close at $53.95/bbl.


You might like these

  • How Crypto Market Psychology Will Finally Turn

    As the crypto market gets glancing news headlines such as Bitcoin has risen 20 percent in the last week, or Bitcoin smashes $8000 barrier and strives additional milestones, I would like to emphasize a couple of themes which I have already been talking about lately

  • With Mental Models, We No Longer Act Rationally

    The specific mental model develops when we cease to be in contact with reality. We're identified as having psychological illnesses; put simply, we're loony. The achievements of Bitcoin currency is an excellent illustration showing the intellectual turmoil of crowds of people

  • Trading psychology and how to become mentally tough

    Trading psychology importance of a day trader who starts to trade live for to make a living, ie: what do I have to learn, and exactly what are the skills I have to practice are critical.